Thursday, February 28, 2019

Panacea Biotec surges 13% on one-time settlement with lenders

Shares of Panacea Biotec surged 13 percent intraday Wednesday after company board approved one time settlement with the consortium of lenders of the company.

The company board in its meeting held on February 26, approved raising Rs 864 crore through issue of listed/unlisted, secured/unsecured redeemable non-convertible debentures and raising Rs 128 crore through issue of warrants by issuing up to 71,11,111 warrants of Rs 180 each, exercisable into equal number of equity shares of face value of Re 1 each of the company on a preferential basis.

The board approved demerger of real estate business of the company through scheme of arrangement subject to applicable approvals.

Also, approved the transfer of the pharmaceutical formulations business of the company to a wholly owned subsidiary of the company (to be incorporated), as a going concern.

At 10:48 hrs Panacea Biotec was quoting at Rs 213.25, up Rs 19.65, or 10.15 percent on the BSE.

For more market news, click here First Published on Feb 27, 2019 10:59 am

Monday, February 25, 2019

Vipshop Earnings: VIPS Stock Drops on Disappointing Revenue

Vipshop earnings for the fourth quarter of 2018 has VIPS stock heading lower on Thursday.

Vipshop Earnings: VIPS Stock Drops on Disappointing RevenueVipshop Earnings: VIPS Stock Drops on Disappointing RevenueSource: Shutterstock

The bad news for Vipshop (NYSE:VIPS) starts with revenue of $3.79 billion for the fourth quarter of the year. This is an increase over the company’s revenue of $3.59 billion reported in the same period of the year prior. However, it was a strike against VIPS stock by missing Wall Street’s revenue estimate of $3.96 billion for the quarter.

Vipshop also reported earnings per share of 19 cents for the fourth quarter of 2018. This is down from the company’s earnings per share of 20 cents from the fourth quarter of 2017. Despite the drop, it still beats out analysts’ earnings per share estimate of 18 cents for the quarter, but wasn’t enough to save VIPS stock today.

Net income reported in the Vipshop earnings report for the fourth quarter of the year comes in at $100.94 million. The company’s net income reported during the same time last year was $98.16 million.

The Vipshop earnings report for the fourth quarter of 2018 also includes operating income of $145.94 million for the fourth quarter of 2018. This is better than the company’s operating income of $131.49 million reported in the fourth quarter of the previous year.

This most recent Vipshop earnings report also has the company providing its outlook for the first quarter of 2019. It is expecting revenue for the quarter to range from $2.96 billion to $3.11 billion. Wall Street is estimating revenue of $3.20 billion for the first quarter of the year.

VIPS stock was down 13% as of Thursday afternoon.

As of this writing, William White did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.

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Sunday, February 24, 2019

Servicemaster Global Holdings Inc (SERV) Expected to Announce Quarterly Sales of $447.00 Million

Analysts expect Servicemaster Global Holdings Inc (NYSE:SERV) to report $447.00 million in sales for the current quarter, Zacks Investment Research reports. Four analysts have provided estimates for Servicemaster Global’s earnings, with the highest sales estimate coming in at $451.00 million and the lowest estimate coming in at $443.08 million. Servicemaster Global posted sales of $666.00 million in the same quarter last year, which would indicate a negative year-over-year growth rate of 32.9%. The company is expected to report its next quarterly earnings results before the market opens on Tuesday, February 26th.

On average, analysts expect that Servicemaster Global will report full year sales of $2.13 billion for the current year, with estimates ranging from $1.89 billion to $2.87 billion. For the next financial year, analysts anticipate that the company will report sales of $1.98 billion, with estimates ranging from $1.95 billion to $2.01 billion. Zacks’ sales averages are a mean average based on a survey of sell-side analysts that follow Servicemaster Global.

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Several research firms have recently issued reports on SERV. Bank of America downgraded shares of Servicemaster Global from a “buy” rating to an “underperform” rating and dropped their price objective for the stock from $45.00 to $36.00 in a report on Wednesday. Oppenheimer set a $47.00 price objective on shares of Servicemaster Global and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a report on Tuesday, December 11th. Zacks Investment Research downgraded shares of Servicemaster Global from a “hold” rating to a “sell” rating in a report on Tuesday, December 18th. Goldman Sachs Group began coverage on shares of Servicemaster Global in a report on Wednesday, November 14th. They set a “neutral” rating and a $44.00 price objective on the stock. Finally, Morgan Stanley set a $39.00 price objective on shares of Servicemaster Global and gave the stock a “hold” rating in a report on Wednesday, November 7th. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, six have issued a hold rating and six have issued a buy rating to the stock. Servicemaster Global has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $45.60.

In other news, insider Matthew Stevenson sold 2,562 shares of Servicemaster Global stock in a transaction dated Friday, November 30th. The shares were sold at an average price of $44.20, for a total transaction of $113,240.40. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is available through the SEC website. 0.16% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.

Institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the company. AdvisorNet Financial Inc acquired a new stake in shares of Servicemaster Global during the 4th quarter valued at about $33,000. First Hawaiian Bank acquired a new stake in shares of Servicemaster Global during the 3rd quarter valued at about $193,000. Stone Ridge Asset Management LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Servicemaster Global during the 3rd quarter valued at about $205,000. Parametrica Management Ltd acquired a new stake in shares of Servicemaster Global during the 3rd quarter valued at about $245,000. Finally, Pzena Investment Management LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Servicemaster Global during the 4th quarter valued at about $208,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 99.60% of the company’s stock.

NYSE:SERV opened at $39.06 on Monday. Servicemaster Global has a 52-week low of $32.93 and a 52-week high of $45.64. The company has a current ratio of 1.15, a quick ratio of 1.09 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.90. The stock has a market cap of $5.42 billion, a PE ratio of 18.51, a P/E/G ratio of 2.71 and a beta of 0.97.

About Servicemaster Global

ServiceMaster Global Holdings, Inc provides termite and pest control, cleaning, and restoration services in residential and commercial markets in the United States. The company operates through, Terminix and the Franchise Services Group segments. The Terminix segment offers termite and pest control services, including termite remediation, annual termite inspection, and prevention treatments with damage claim guarantees, periodic pest control services, insulation services, mosquito control, crawlspace encapsulation, and wildlife exclusion.

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Earnings History and Estimates for Servicemaster Global (NYSE:SERV)

Friday, February 22, 2019

Soybean futures expected to trade sideways to lower: Angel Commodities


Angel Commodities' report on Soybean


NCDEX Mar Soybean futures edged lower on fresh selling by the market participants. It slipped to 4-week low last week on higher production forecasts but now trend look positive. As per latest press release by SOPA, India's soybean output is likely to rise by 38% to 114.8 lakh tonnes this year due to increase in average yield across the country. Demand for Indian soymeal is growing from Europe and West Asia while Iran is emerging as one of the largest buyers. Soymeal exports up by 98% on year in January to 210,166 tonne, as per SEA press release. Overall, Soymeal exports are higher by 16% at 10.66 lakh tonnes for the Apr- Jan period compared to last year. Soymeal exports from India are expected to rise 25% on year to around 15 lakh tn in 2018-19 (Apr-Mar).


CBOT Soybean ended Wednesday with gains mainly on technical buying and support from the cut in forecast for Brazil's 2019 soy exports. Brazil is expected to export 70.2 million tonnes of soy in 2019, consultancy. The forecast for Brazil's total soybean production was revised down slightly to 116.4 mt, compared with the prior forecast earlier this month of 116.5 mt, Agroconsult said on Wednesday, cutting its previous forecast of 73 mt. US acreage estimates from Informa were trimmed by 160,000 acres to 86.044 million.


Outlook


Soybean futures expected to trade sideways to lower on expectation of more correction. However, reports of lower soy oil imports, which may need higher crushing in coming weeks.


For all commodities report, click here

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Read More First Published on Feb 21, 2019 11:26 am

Thursday, February 21, 2019

Best Casino Stocks To Own Right Now

tags:AFMD,CEL,ENLK,

Caesars Entertainment Co. Common Stock (NASDAQ:CZR) was upgraded by Zacks Investment Research from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a report released on Tuesday.

According to Zacks, “Caesars Entertainment Corporation is a gaming company engaged in providing casino entertainment services. The Company operates casino resorts on multiple continents and its casino entertainment facilities include land-based casinos, riverboat or dockside casinos, managed casinos, combination greyhound racetrack and casino, combination thoroughbred racetrack and casino, and harness racetrack and casino, hotel and convention space, restaurants, and non-gaming entertainment facilities. Its resorts operate primarily under the Harrah’s(TM), Caesars(TM) and Horseshoe(TM) brand names. Caesars Entertainment Corporation is based in Las Vegas, Nevada. “

Best Casino Stocks To Own Right Now: Affimed N.V.(AFMD)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By George Budwell]

    Last Monday, Affimed N.V. (NASDAQ:AFMD) signed a lucrative licensing deal with biotech heavyweight Roche (NASDAQOTH:RHHBY) for its Redirected Optimized Cell Killing (ROCK) platform. This deal sent Affimed's shares up a whopping 246% yesterday, thanks in large part to a $96 million upfront payment that's to be delivered over the next 12 months. Adding fuel to the fire, Affimed is also reportedly eligible to receive a staggering $5 billion in additional milestone and royalty payments moving forward. 

  • [By Chris Lange]

    Affimed N.V. (NASDAQ: AFMD) shares more than doubled early on Tuesday after it was announced that the firm entered into a strategic collaboration agreement with Genentech to develop and commercialize novel NK cell engager-based immunotherapeutics to treat multiple cancers. The deal is expected to close in the third quarter of this year.

  • [By Chris Lange]

    Affimed N.V. (NASDAQ: AFMD) shares dropped sharply early on Friday after the company released new results from its early stage trial with Keytruda. Affimed presented new interim data from the Phase 1b dose escalation study evaluating AFM13, its lead NK cell engager candidate, at the European Hematology Association (EHA) 23rd Congress in Stockholm, Sweden

  • [By Chris Lange]

    Affimed N.V. (NASDAQ: AFMD) shares took a big step back early on Tuesday after the company announced that it has placed its AFM11 (CD19/CD3-targeting T cell engager) on clinical hold, and has notified the global health authorities of its decision.

  • [By Maxx Chatsko]

    Shares of Affimed (NASDAQ:AFMD) fell nearly 20% today after -- well, no news, really. But a few days ago, the company soared 246% after announcing that Genentech, owned by Roche, decided to take the small German company's untested technology platform for a spin. The previously under-the-radar biopharma also got a cool $96 million up-front payment and could see up to $5 billion in milestone and royalty payments if everything goes smoothly. 

Best Casino Stocks To Own Right Now: Cellcom Israel Ltd.(CEL)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    Hellenic Telecom Organization (NYSE: CEL) and Cellcom Israel (NYSE:CEL) are both utilities companies, but which is the better investment? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength of their profitability, earnings, valuation, risk, institutional ownership, dividends and analyst recommendations.

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    Millicom (OTCMKTS: MIICF) and Cellcom Israel (NYSE:CEL) are both computer and technology companies, but which is the better business? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength of their risk, valuation, dividends, institutional ownership, analyst recommendations, earnings and profitability.

  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    Partner Communications (NASDAQ: PTNR) and Cellcom Israel (NYSE:CEL) are both small-cap computer and technology companies, but which is the superior stock? We will compare the two companies based on the strength of their earnings, analyst recommendations, institutional ownership, risk, valuation, profitability and dividends.

  • [By Lisa Levin]

    Thursday afternoon, the health care shares rose 1.79 percent. Meanwhile, top gainers in the sector included Partner Communications Company Ltd. (NASDAQ: PTNR), up 8 percent, and Cellcom Israel Ltd. (NYSE: CEL) up 7 percent.

  • [By Lisa Levin]

    Thursday afternoon, the telecommunication services shares surged 0.58 percent. Meanwhile, top gainers in the sector included Intelsat S.A. (NYSE: I), up 5 percent, and Cellcom Israel Ltd. (NYSE: CEL) up 2.5 percent.

Best Casino Stocks To Own Right Now: EnLink Midstream Partners, LP(ENLK)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    ValuEngine upgraded shares of EnLink Midstream Partners (NYSE:ENLK) from a strong sell rating to a sell rating in a research report released on Thursday morning.

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    EnLink Midstream Partners LP (NYSE:ENLK)’s share price reached a new 52-week high during trading on Thursday . The stock traded as high as $18.96 and last traded at $18.92, with a volume of 56666 shares changing hands. The stock had previously closed at $18.43.

  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    EnLink Midstream Partners (NYSE:ENLK) had its price target hoisted by research analysts at Barclays from $15.00 to $16.00 in a research report issued on Tuesday. The firm presently has a “hold” rating on the oil and gas producer’s stock. Barclays’ target price indicates a potential downside of 4.02% from the company’s current price.

  • [By Matthew DiLallo]

    The company took a major step in that direction this week after announcing that it had agreed to sell its stakes in midstream companies EnLink Midstream Partners (NYSE:ENLK) and EnLink Midstream (NYSE:ENLC) for $3.125 billion in cash. The shale driller plans to use that cash to repurchase up to $4 billion of its shares through the end of next year, assuming this transaction closes. These moves could unlock significant shareholder value in the coming year.

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

D-Street Buzz: Nifty Realty outperforms led by DLF; Bharti Airtel jumps 3%, RIL most active

Following progress in US-China trade war talks and Asian shares at near  4-month high, the Indian benchmark indices have been trading in the green with the Nifty50 up 23 points, trading at 10664 while the Sensex was up 84 points and was trading at 35,582 mark.

Nifty Realty was the outperforming sector, up over 2 percent led by gains from Prestige Estates, DLF, Oberoi Realty, Unitech, Brigade Enterprises, Godrej Properties and Sobha.

From the auto space, the top gainers were Motherson Sumi Systems which jumped 2 percent followed by TVS Motor, Hero MotoCorp, Bharat Forge and Bajaj Auto.

Bank Nifty was also trading in the green led by IDFC First Bank, Punjab National Bank, YES Bank and ICICI Bank.

related news Emami rises 5% post stake sales by promoters Ambuja Cements rises 2% after strong Q4 results

However, selective IT and media stocks were trading in the red with loses from Infosys, Tata Elxsi, TCS and Wipro while the top media losers were Hathway Cable, Dish TV, Sun TV Network and Zee Entertainment.

The top gainers from NSE included Bharti Airtel, Bharti Infratel, Titan Company, Bajaj Finance and ICICI Bank while the top losers included Zee Entertainment, Infosys, Tata Motors, Wipro and Hindustan Unilever.

The most active stocks were YES Bank, Reliance Industries, Infosys, Jubilant Food and Dr Reddy's Labs.

Balrampur Chini Mills, SKF India and TCNS Clothing have hit new 52-week high in this morning session.

91 stocks have hit new 52-week low on the NSE including names like Bharat Bijlee, Clariant Chemicals, LT Food, Dena Bank, Firstsource Solutions, Indo Count Industries, GNFC, Mirza International, Punj Lloyd, Tata Coffee and Welspun India among others.

The breadth of the market favoured the advances with 1047 stocks advancing and 470 declining while 518 remained unchanged. On the BSE, 1001 stocks advanced, 431 declined and 54 remained unchanged.

Disclosure: Reliance Industries Ltd. is the sole beneficiary of Independent Media Trust which controls Network18 Media & Investments Ltd.

For more market news, click here First Published on Feb 19, 2019 09:44 am

Tuesday, February 19, 2019

Community Health Systems (CYH) Scheduled to Post Earnings on Wednesday

Community Health Systems (NYSE:CYH) is set to release its earnings data after the market closes on Wednesday, February 20th. Analysts expect Community Health Systems to post earnings of ($0.58) per share for the quarter. Persons interested in participating in the company’s earnings conference call can do so using this link.

Community Health Systems stock opened at $3.95 on Monday. The firm has a market cap of $459.32 million, a price-to-earnings ratio of -3.29 and a beta of 2.51. Community Health Systems has a one year low of $2.48 and a one year high of $6.36.

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Several brokerages have recently issued reports on CYH. Zacks Investment Research downgraded Community Health Systems from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Thursday, January 24th. ValuEngine downgraded Community Health Systems from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Monday, February 4th. Cantor Fitzgerald lowered their price target on Community Health Systems from $6.00 to $4.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, October 31st. Finally, UBS Group began coverage on Community Health Systems in a research report on Thursday, November 15th. They issued a “sell” rating and a $2.00 price target on the stock. Five equities research analysts have rated the stock with a sell rating and seven have issued a hold rating to the company’s stock. Community Health Systems has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $3.50.

TRADEMARK VIOLATION WARNING: This report was originally reported by Ticker Report and is the sole property of of Ticker Report. If you are accessing this report on another site, it was stolen and reposted in violation of US and international trademark & copyright law. The legal version of this report can be accessed at https://www.tickerreport.com/banking-finance/4160383/community-health-systems-cyh-scheduled-to-post-earnings-on-wednesday.html.

Community Health Systems Company Profile

Community Health Systems, Inc, together with its subsidiaries, owns, leases, and operates general acute care hospitals in the United States. It offers general acute care, emergency room, general and specialty surgery, critical care, internal medicine, obstetrics, diagnostic, psychiatric, and rehabilitation services, as well as skilled nursing and home care services.

Further Reading: What is channel trading?

Earnings History for Community Health Systems (NYSE:CYH)

Monday, February 18, 2019

Flipping a House? Here's What You Should Worry About

Countless television shows glamorize the concept of flipping a house. They make it appear relatively easy to find a property that's priced well below its market value due to it needing extensive repairs. If you're handy and can paint, it seems like profits are just there for the taking.

There are even seminars on house flipping (sometimes offered by the stars of the above-mentioned shows), all designed to sell you on the idea that house flipping requires hard work but could be a path to getting rich. It can be, of course, but the reality is that house flipping comes with a lot of risks.

You only make money on a flip when purchase price plus renovation costs comes out to less than you sell the house for. It's possible to do that in some cases, but unexpected costs, changing markets, or an inability to find a buyer can turn profits into losses.

A person hangs drywall.

Flipping usually involves extensive repairs and renovation. Image source: Getty Images.

How flipping works

Before you can flip a house, you need to purchase one. That requires capital. 41.6% of flippers use savings from their primary source of income as their funding source according to data from a new Porch.com survey, followed by 30% who take out bank loans, 8.6% who use an inheritance or one-time windfall, 6.2% who borrow from family, and another 6.2% who borrow from a private lender.

In most cases, that means that flippers are putting their financial health on the line, risking either their savings or their credit. That's a bigger risk than it used to be when flipping was largely an activity conducted by professionals with considerable building experience. Today the prevalence of side hustle flippers -- people who are not professional housing contractors -- has increased risk. The presence of more flippers in a market can drive up the price of homes that can be flipped, lowering profit margins and removing margin for error.

A chart shows what can go wrong when flipping a house.

Image source: Porch.com.

As you can see from the chart above, underestimating the cost was cited more than any other flipping mistake at 63.5%. That's something that's actually shown quite often on the various flipping shows.

In general, people underestimate the cost or don't budget enough for repairs because there's something wrong that can't be seen until work begins. It might be a huge plumbing problem, asbestos, structural defects, or a host of other things. Flippers can also lose money if the market does not support the price they intend to sell at, or if a renovated home takes too long to sell.

"With extra costs hiding in renovations, these monetary mistakes are likely rooted in construction and design," according to the Porch.com report. "By location, most mistakes were made in the kitchen, which also happens to be the most common room to remodel. Ordering or installing the wrong countertops or cabinets was the biggest mishap for that room, followed by getting the wrong fixtures or materials for the bathroom."

Not for everyone

Just because it's possible to make money flipping houses does not mean everyone, or even most people, should try it. In reality, flipping is dangerous: In many cases, houses are bought without inspections, and sometimes without the buyer even being able to see the interior. Even if you can fully inspect the home, a lot can still go wrong. This isn't a space where amateurs should expect to make money as a sideline.

Sunday, February 17, 2019

The 3 Most Important Takeaways From Canopy Growth's Quarterly Results

The world's leading medical marijuana company, Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC), just unveiled its fourth-quarter financials, and the performance reaffirms its status as the top dog in this emerging industry. The results are particularly important because they include the first six weeks of sales from Canada's new recreational marijuana market. Before you buy shares in this top cannabis company, here's what you should know.

1. Still the big kahuna

When top competitor Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) reported quarterly results earlier this week, it said it nabbed recreational market share of 20% and that recreational sales represented 21.6 million Canadian dollars of its CA$54 million in net sales. Canopy Growth crushed those figures.

Marijuana buds sitting next to a stack of $100 bills.

Image source: Getty Images.

Its CA$83 million in revenue was 54% higher than Aurora Cannabis' haul. In the past, Canopy Growth has estimated its medical market share exceeds 30% and it appears it's executing even better in the recreational market. Using Aurora Cannabis 20% recreational market share figure and its CA$21.6 in recreational sales, we can estimate total recreational sales were somewhere around $108 million. Canopy Growth's recreational sales were CA$57.7 million, so by that back-of-napkin math, it nabbed a whopping 53.4% of the estimated adult-use market last quarter.

2. Product mix is improving

In the same quarter last year, Canopy Growth sold 2,330 kilograms of marijuana. In Q4, it sold 10,102 kilograms -- a 335% increase.

Importantly, a lot of the marijuana it sold was as high-margin products. Specifically, oils and soft gels accounted for 33% revenue in the period, up from 23% last year. In the medical marijuana market, these products represented 42% of revenue. They accounted for 30% of recreational market revenue.

Increasing revenue from oils and soft gels, plus the potential to sell vapes, beverages, and edibles in Canada at some point, should help improve gross margin. After adjustments for non-cultivating subsidiaries and excise taxes it absorbed, gross margin was 40% last quarter. That's low relative to peers, but Canopy Growth believes that as new facilities ramp to scale and value-added products launch, margin will trend up over time. By comparison, Aurora Cannabis' gross margin was 54% last quarter.

Marijuana buds in front of an American flag.

Image source: Getty Images.

3. Its U.S. strategy remains on track

In January, Canopy Growth announced it had obtained a license to process hemp products in New York state. It plans to invest up to $150 million to become an anchor tenant in a hemp-focused industrial park at a location to be determined. In its earnings conference call, the company told investors that it has identified the site for this industrial park and negotiations are ongoing. 

Management isn't tipping its hand on what could be the first hemp-derived products to launch in New York, but they did suggest that health and wellness products for pets and humans are being targeted, and that if everything goes as planned, the first of these products could be available in New York by the end of 2019 or the first quarter of 2020.

As far as plans to expand into other U.S. states, CEO Bruce Linton said on the conference call with investors it will be "sooner than later," but he also added, "It will depend on politics." 

 

Consumer sentiment surges higher than expected after government shutdown ends

Consumer sentiment gained more than expected in early February as U.S. spending confidence recovered after the end of the longest government shutdown in history.

The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index rose to 95.5 this month from 91.2 in January, preliminary data showed. Economists polled by Refinitiv expected the index to rise to 93.

"The early February gains reflect the end of the partial government shutdown as well as a more fundamental shift in consumer expectations due to the Fed's pause in raising interest rates," said Richard Curtin, chief economist for the Surveys of Consumers.

"The lingering impact of the shutdown was responsible for some of the negative economic evaluations, and, at the time that these interviews were conducted, uncertainty about whether a second shutdown would occur continued to have a slight depressing impact on confidence," Curtin added.

President Donald Trump temporarily ended the record long government shutdown on Jan.25, resolving the grueling 35-day closure. On Thursday, Congress passed legislation to avoid another government shutdown, and the president plans to sign the proposal and declare a national emergency in an attempt to fund the wall.

"The assessment of current conditions was the second lowest since 2016, though the expectations read was significantly improved, back to levels seen in 2018. In the details, consistent with the bounce in sentiment, more respondents suggested that it was a good time to buy a major household item/vehicle/house," said Jon Jill, BMO Capital Markets' fixed income strategist.

Optimism toward a government funding resolution, along with China trade hopes, boosted the stock market with the S&P 500 rising more than 2 percent this month so far.

The consumer sentiment data indicate that personal consumption expenditures will remain the strongest sector in the national economy in 2019, Curtin pointed out.

Friday, February 15, 2019

Schneider Electric (SU) Given a €75.00 Price Target at Royal Bank of Canada

Schneider Electric (EPA:SU) has been given a €75.00 ($87.21) price objective by analysts at Royal Bank of Canada in a research report issued to clients and investors on Thursday. The firm presently has a “buy” rating on the stock.

SU has been the subject of several other research reports. Goldman Sachs Group set a €60.00 ($69.77) target price on shares of Schneider Electric and gave the stock a “sell” rating in a research report on Tuesday, January 8th. BNP Paribas set a €65.00 ($75.58) target price on shares of Schneider Electric and gave the company a “neutral” rating in a report on Tuesday, November 27th. Credit Suisse Group set a €85.00 ($98.84) price objective on shares of Schneider Electric and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a research note on Monday, December 3rd. Berenberg Bank set a €74.00 ($86.05) target price on shares of Schneider Electric and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a research report on Monday, November 19th. Finally, Kepler Capital Markets set a €60.00 ($69.77) price target on shares of Schneider Electric and gave the company a “neutral” rating in a report on Monday, January 14th. One analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, eight have given a hold rating and seven have assigned a buy rating to the company’s stock. The company presently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of €71.00 ($82.56).

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Schneider Electric has a 52-week low of €64.88 ($75.44) and a 52-week high of €76.34 ($88.77).

Schneider Electric Company Profile

Schneider Electric S.E. provides energy management and automation solutions worldwide. It operates through four businesses: Low Voltage, Medium Voltage, Industrial Automation, and Secure Power. The Low Voltage business provides low voltage power and building automation products and solutions that address the needs of various end markets from buildings to industries and infrastructure to data centers.

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Analyst Recommendations for Schneider Electric (EPA:SU)

Thursday, February 14, 2019

Accumulate Britannia Industries; target of Rs 3159: Prabhudas Lilladher


Prabhudas Lilladher's research report on Britannia Industries


Britannia is entering a new phase of growth powered by innovations and renovations like 1) Whole Wheat Vita Marie Gold, Goodday Cashew Almond, re-launches in 50-50 & Tiger Creams 2) significant revamp of cakes portfolio with entry in Brownie, Swiss Rolls and layered cakes under treat brand 3) PAN India launch of Treat cream wafers 4) success of Winky Cow milk shakes and 5) planned launch of Treat croissants in 4Q. although 3Q volume growth at 7% disappointed, we expect acceleration backed by expected surge in rural demand post interim budget and sustained levers of direct distribution expansion (0.25m addition/year) and higher growth in Hindi heartland. BRIT expects Input cost inflation of 4-5% in FY20 which is expected to be mitigated by 3-4% price increases and benefits of cost efficiency programs (Rs2.25bn in FY18 and FY19).


Outlook


We estimate 18.5% PAT CAGR over FY19-21 and value the stock at 46xFY21 EPS given robust growth outlook and strong innovation pipeline and arrive at a SOTP based target price of Rs3159. Retain Accumulate for long term gains.


For all recommendations report, click here


Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Read More First Published on Feb 12, 2019 04:35 pm

Wednesday, February 13, 2019

Twilio (TWLO) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

Logo of jester cap with thought bubble with words 'Fool Transcripts' below it

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Twilio (NYSE:TWLO) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 12, 2019 5:00 p.m. ET

Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to Twilio's Q4 2018 earnings conference call. My name is Gigi, and I will be your operator for today's call. [Operator instructions] I would now turn the call over to Greg Kleiner, vice president of investor relations and treasurer. Mr.

Kleiner, you may begin.

Greg Kleiner -- Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Twilio's fourth-quarter and year-end 2018 earnings conference call. Joining me today are Jeff Lawson, our co-founder and CEO; Sameer Dholakia; the CEO of our Twilio SendGrid unit; George Hu, our COO; and Khozema Shipchandler, our CFO. The primary purpose of today's call is to provide you with information regarding our 2018 fourth-quarter and full-year performance in addition to our financial outlook for our 2019 first quarter and full year.

Some of our discussions and responses to your questions may contain forward-looking statements, including but not limited to, statements regarding our future performance, including our financial outlook, which includes SendGrid with the closing date of February 1st onwards; the potential benefits of our acquisition of SendGrid; impacts and expected results from changes in our relationship with our larger customers; our market opportunity and market trends; the growth of our customer base; customer adoption of our products; our momentum; the benefits of our business model; our delivery of new products or product features; and our ability to execute on our vision. These statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Should any of these risks or uncertainties materialize or should any of our assumptions, as outlined in our earnings release and the documents referred to in that release, prove to be incorrect, actual company results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements. A discussion of the risks and uncertainties related to our business is contained in our most recent Form 10-Q filed with the SEC on November 8, 2018 and our remarks during today's discussion should be considered to incorporate this information by reference.

Forward-looking statements represent our beliefs and assumptions only as of the date such statements are made. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made during this call to reflect events or circumstances after today or to reflect new information or the occurrence of unanticipated events except as required by law. Also during this call, we may present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are available in our earnings release, which we issued a short time ago.

We encourage you to read our earnings release as it contains important information about GAAP and non-GAAP results, as well as the reasons why we present guidance for our non-GAAP financial measures of income from operations and net income per share but not the comparable GAAP measures. The earnings release is available on the Investor Relations page of our website and as part of a Form 8-K furnished to the SEC. Finally, at times in our prepared comments or in response to your questions, we may offer incremental metrics to provide greater insight into the dynamics of our business or our quarterly or annual results. Please be advised that this additional detail may be one-time in nature and we may or may not provide an update in the future on these metrics.

I encourage you to visit our Investor Relations website at investors.twilio.com to access our earnings release, periodic SEC reports, a webcast replay of today's call or to learn more about Twilio. I'll now turn the call over to Jeff.

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Greg. Welcome, everybody, to this quarter's call. I'd like to start by welcoming all of the SendGrid folks, now full-fledged Twilions to the family. We're all incredibly excited to build a future together with all of you.

We had an exceptional Q4 that capped off an incredible year for Twilio. I wanted to take a moment to thank all of the Twilions around the world for all of their incredible accomplishments in 2018, including our R&D teams, moving our innovation forward while scaling our services reliably, as well as our sales and marketing teams, who brought on so many new customers in the year and made our customers widely successful by consistently wearing our customers' shoes, and our G&A teams who helped support the rapid growth of our business; and of course, to all of the Twilions and SendGrid folks who helped make the largest acquisition in the history of our company possible. Thank you. All of your hard work showed again in Q4.

Our core business continued to power strong revenue growth, amplified by a few one-time events, which Khozema will go into later. Both our core products, voice and messaging, continue to generate significant growth and drive our business. And our engagement platform strategy is working well. It's changing the types of conversations we're having with customers and producing early success with products like Flex.

And we've proven our ability to augment our developer-led go-to-market model with a significant sales motion, driving deeper, more strategic relationships with our existing customers and successfully acquiring new customers. But we're just getting started. From our perspective, we're at the early stages of a complete transformation of communications from its legacy based on physical networks to its future based on software. And in that transition, we see the opportunity to help every company elevate their digital engagement strategy with their customers.

Our developer-first go to market is an efficient way to reach this broad range of companies. And with our platform business model, we see opportunities to power a tremendous range of applications for our customers across almost every customer touch point. And as a platform, we get a front-row seat to learn the major business problems that customers are looking to solve. This view drives our product roadmap, resulting in products like Flex.

That's why we plan to continue to invest across the company to support elevated growth over an extended period of time rather than taking profits in the short term. Our product priorities coming into 2019 remain consistent with what we've discussed last 2018 but updated to reflect the progress we've made throughout the last year. We are focused on elevating Twilio into the world's leading customer engagement platform and expanding our position as the developers' first choice for communications. Our engagement platform vision, backed up by the go-to-market team George's organization has been building, is up-leveling our interactions with customers and prospects alike.

For those who are able to attend SIGNAL last year, I hope you noticed the changes from the customer logos to the discussions to the sessions and more. And from a product point of view, the launch of Flex was just the first step of this evolution. The customer reaction to Flex has been tremendous but our journey has just begun. Empowering developers to build a future has long been the foundation of Twilio, and we will continue our devotion to serving their needs.

Obviously, adding email to the platform is heart of this strategy. But it's also expanding our efforts to meet developers where they are around the world, making further improvements for council and developer experience and launching a new version of TwilioQuest, our interactive learning system and more. There are well over four million registered developer accounts across the combined base of Twilio and SendGrid, and we look forward to powering their innovation in the future. To help drive our efforts to scale the company, we've added to our executive team recently by welcoming Chee Chew as our chief product officer.

Chee has spent more than 25 years working at some of the world's leading technology companies like Amazon, Google and Microsoft. Most recently, Chee was the vice president of Consumer Engagement at Amazon, responsible for its core shopping experience on the web and mobile apps. Prior to Amazon, Chee was the vice president of Engineering for Google, responsible for their real-time communications efforts, including Google Voice and Google Hangouts. His experience across the scope of customer engagement and software development will serve him well in his new role at Twilio.

We also added Donna Dubinsky, a technology industry pioneer, to our board. Donna is a serial entrepreneur, best known for her role as CEO of both Palm and Handspring, innovators who created the first successful handheld computers and smartphones. Earlier in her career, Donna spent 10 years in sales, sales support and logistics at Apple and at Claris, an Apple software subsidiary. Donna is current the CEO of Numenta, where she is focus on reverse engineering the neocortex and applying that knowledge in the creation of machine intelligence.

Her experience building leading technology companies will provide valuable insights to our board discussions. So to wrap up, we continue to put the right pieces in place to fulfill our mission to fuel the future of communications. As you can see by our results, voice and messaging remain incredibly vibrant markets, and we're thrilled now to add email to the picture. Between voice, messaging and now email, we have the full breadth of ubiquitously used channels for customer engagement.

And the reaction from customers, prospects and developers since our announcement of the SendGrid acquisition has been great. Together, we have more than 140,000 customer accounts, giving us even more visibility into the big, unsolved problems that we can help our customers to solve. We feel that we have the opportunity to disrupt a massive market and are uniquely positioned to do so, collapsing the industry that has been fragmented between carriers, hardware, software and operators. Our platform of flexible building blocks is much more powerful to customers, allowing them to both reinvent existing use cases and create entirely new ones.

Learning from our customers who are building on the core components of our platform, now including email as well, will help inform this future. This is just the beginning, and we are investing to accelerate our engagement platform vision for our customers. Now in addition to adding Chee and Donna to the leadership of Twilio, we also added another fantastic executive to the team, Sameer Dholakia, the CEO of SendGrid. So Sameer, let me turn the call over to you for some thoughts on our future together.

Sameer Dholakia -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Jeff, and I'm so proud to be joining the leadership team and this extraordinary company. One of most important aspects of making combinations like this successful is the people dimension and how the individuals feel about the cultural fit and shared values between the two companies. And I can say, speaking for all of the SendGrid folks, we are incredibly excited to work arm in arm with our new team mates. While we won't to be reporting our stand-alone SendGrid Q4 results in full detail, I'm happy to report that we had another strong quarter of growth across the business, producing revenue of $41 million.

More importantly, we've been hard at work planning for our future together. One of the many reasons that led us down this acquisition path is the conversations we've had over the years with customers looking to create an integrated communications platform, serving the full scope of their customer engagement requirements. We've had a number of exciting discussions with customers and prospects about this potential once their platforms are combined. A great example of this is a Fortune 100 retailer who spoke at our opening kick-off in January.

They happen to be a joint customer of both companies and foresee a future where Twilio is the foundation of their customer engagement platform across all channels, letting their end customers choose their preferred method of communication for every interaction. It's clear to me that both companies are kindred spirits in so many ways. We have an opportunity to help companies around the world to engage with their end customers in a whole new way. To all of the former SendGrid shareholders who have supported us thus far in our journey, thank you.

Thank you for your confidence in us along the way. I'm so looking forward to the next chapter as part of Twilio as we're still at day one of this extraordinary opportunity. George, let me turn the call over to you.

George Hu -- Chief Operating Officer

Thanks, Sameer. We're excited to start this journey together as well. We've also been having many of the same conversations with our customers in the past few months. Our joint efforts in the field have just begun, but I look forward to what we can deliver in 2019 and beyond.

Let me touch on 2018 as a whole before to talking about the road ahead. 2018 was a tremendous year for the go-to-market team, and our investments produced tangible results. Our developer team attended more than 300 events across 20 countries in 2018, driving awareness in the developer community that fuels our business. We held Engage at superclass events in 15 cities around the world, bringing Twilio to a new broader audience, including builders within the broader business community.

We added significantly to our coverage while continuing to deliver strong results. We launched our Twilio Build program, establishing the foundations of our partner programs that we believe will help to amplify our business in the future. And we held our biggest SIGNAL ever. Quite a year.

In the fourth quarter in particular, we were very pleased with the results and the continued momentum of the business. One of the focus areas for our go-to-market investments has been further penetrating the traditional enterprise and our team closed a number of new deals in Q4. Ecolab will be using our Programmable Messaging product as part of a strategic initiative focused on strengthening the productivity of their field service team. They'll be using our platform to send alerts and notifications to the field service team when customer requests come through with their contact center.

Also, STANLEY Infrastructure will be using our Programmable Video product to empower their support technicians for their distribution channel to video chat with end users. This feature will be built directly into their mobile app, allowing remote technicians to show issues with equipment, diagnose problems and identify broken parts. The video will also be recorded for training purposes. We're, of course, also very excited about the GA of Flex and the reaction we're getting in the market from customers and prospects.

The product launch has now enabled the broader sales force to start working on deals. We closed more early adopters in this past quarter as well. One great example was 1,000 seat deployment at a leading software company. This customer will be moving off of their legacy provider onto Flex while taking advantage of some of our new products like Autopilot and to provide a better experience for their customers.

Another Flex win from Q4 was ezCater, an online marketplace that helps businesspeople order office catering from more than 60,000 restaurants across the United States. This deal was yet another great example of where developers were involved from the beginning to the end of the process. ezCater's journey with Flex began when a few of the developers attended one of our Engage sessions in Boston to learn more about our platform. ezCater runs a complicated contact center attempting to coordinate food suppliers, buyers and drivers through a white glove service interaction, and they found their existing provider wasn't able to support their needs as they grew.

Flex is helping them to build a solution they needed to scale their business and serve their growing customer base. And we're also seeing continued success with industry disruptors with our core products. A great example is a Programmable Voice deal we did in the quarter with GoDaddy, a company that empowers everyday entrepreneurs with 18 million customers worldwide. One of the products they offer to support their community is an app called SmartLine that allows customers to easily add a second phone number to their cellphones, keeping their business and personal identity separate.

GoDaddy will be utilizing our platform to support the SmartLine application both here in the U.S., as well as around the world. We also entered into a new relationship with E*TRADE in Q4. E*TRADE sends a wide variety of messages to their customers from transaction notifications, to price alerts to news and so on. They'll be using our Programmable Messaging products for their SMS alerting option for our customers.

All in all, another great job by the go-to-market team in Q4. We continue to invest in the strategy that we've been laying out, more account coverage and increasing our bets in the enterprise with partners and internationally. To drive our Twilio Build partner strategy going forward, we promoted Chetan Chaudhary, a Twilio veteran with an extensive background in building channel programs, to global VP of Partners. We're also planning to increase our account coverage again this year, including outside the U.S.

because of the remarkable opportunity we see globally. In EMEA, we've hired David Parry-Jones, formerly of VMware and Microsoft, as regional VP of EMEA, to lead our sales efforts and increase our account coverage in the region. We saw tremendous success in APAC last year, so we're adding to that team as well. And on top of that, our plan to capitalize on the combined power of existing SendGrid and Twilio customers and products, as well as developing new relationships, we have an amazing opportunity ahead of us in 2019 and the years to come.

With that, let me pass the mic to Khozema to discuss our financial results.

Khozema Shipchandler -- Chief Operating Officer

Thank you, George, and good afternoon, everyone. I'm thrilled to have joined such an amazing company at a pivotal point in its history as we rapidly approach our first $1 billion in annual revenue. I look forward to interacting to many of you on the call today and the coming years. Let's dive into some of the highlights.

Q4 was an extraordinary quarter with base revenue growing 77% year over year. Our products are resonating with customers, and our go-to-market investments continue to work well. These results were driven once again by the success we are creating within our customer base with our dollar-based net expansion rate coming in at 147%. As we previously indicated, this is the last quarter where we will be providing the ex Uber versions of both these metrics.

So if you have them for your models, the ex Uber stats for both were 79% and 148%, respectively. And while the majority of our base revenue growth came from the normal drivers of our business, we did have two items that amplified our Q4 results: First, we saw significant seasonal spending ramp from a large international customer that we added earlier in 2018; Second, we saw positive impact related to the midterm elections in the U.S. Combined, the two items added roughly 10 points to our year-over-year growth in Q4. As you think about the impact from these two items into 2019, the spending levels from that international customer I mentioned have returned to more normalized levels in Q1, and the election-related spend obviously won't reoccur this year.

The top 10 active customer accounts contributed 20% of total revenue in Q4. compared to 18% last quarter and 17% in Q4 2017. We had six variable customer accounts in the fourth quarter once again. Gross margins came in at 54% in the fourth quarter, in the range of recent quarters.

The change in the sequential basis was driven largely by some elevated activity in lower-margin regions internationally and some end-of-year cleanup and software capitalization. Looking forward, simply put, you should continue to expect some fluctuations in our underlying gross margins. Adding SendGrid to the mix will obviously provide an upward lift in the short term but our priorities remain the same. We are focused on growing the business around the world rather than maximizing gross margins in the near term.

We continue to see things that could impact our gross margins like product, country and customer mix, network service provider fees, foreign exchange and more. So let me turn to guidance for a moment and how SendGrid folds into the picture. You can see the guidance for the combined company in the release. Note that all of SendGrid's revenue will fall into our base revenue category.

As the acquisition closed on February 1st, we will be getting two months of contribution from SendGrid in our Q1 and 11 months in our 2019 results. This equates to roughly a $27 million to $28 million contribution to our Q1 revenue guidance and roughly a $168 million to $170 million revenue contribution to our full-year revenue guidance. So if you normalize for the full 12 months of 2019 in rough numbers, this guidance equates to about 45% organic year-over-year growth for Twilio-only base revenue and about 25% organic year-over-year growth for SendGrid or over 40% organic year-over-year growth for what will be the combined base revenue category going forward. It's also worth spending a moment on our business plan overall and our philosophy for operating profitability in 2019.

As mentioned in prior calls, the focus of the company, given our leadership position in the early stage of this market, remains on the reinvesting of the business to drive revenue growth. We plan to hire aggressively across sales and marketing and R&D, along with the G&A to support these groups in the coming year, which we believe will continue to drive elevated growth outcomes in the years to come. In 2019, we expect these investments will result in a modest level of non-GAAP operating profit on a quarterly basis once we get past Q1. One other thing to note that's new in our guidance this year is an assumed non-GAAP tax rate of 25%.

So in summary, the fourth-quarter results were very strong across a number of fronts, and we have a tremendous opportunity in front of us. We plan to invest appropriately to expand our presence around the world and drive our growth going forward. Thank you, everyone. Operator? 

Questions and Answers:

Operator

[Operator instructions] And our first question is from Alex Zukin from Piper Jaffray. Your line is now open.

Alex Zukin -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

Hey, guys, thanks for taking my question. Congrats on another really strong quarter. Maybe the first one just for George, as we start to come to the anniversary of the some of the sales channels you put in place last year that involved slightly higher touch with potential accounts in the enterprise. Can you speak to the benefits you believe that you've seen in your dollar-based net expansion metric? And then how might we be thinking about that metric going forward, for Khozema, and how does SendGrid folding into the business impact that metric as well? And then I've got a quick follow-up.

George Hu -- Chief Operating Officer

Thanks, Alex. I'll answer the first half of that question. We feel very good about the strategy of increasing our coverage to work more closely with our customers. I think you are seeing that in the results of the revenue growth as well as the net expansion.

And we've seen lots of things, like we've talked about the Lyft Flex transaction, for example, coming out of just really providing a higher touch on that account is a great example. So we did execute that strategy. And I'm very excited about the opportunity going forward because I think we've just begun -- really still beginning to work with key two k customers and international customers, partners. I still think there's a world of opportunity ahead of us to work more closely with our customers and grow those accounts.

Khozema Shipchandler -- Chief Operating Officer

And I think, Alex, just for the second part of your question there, we don't guide specifically on expansion rate. But I think as you can see from the comments that I made already about organic growth just based on our guidance, SendGrid is going to lower that number a little bit. But I think just a general, we see really strong expansion rates going forward, and the business model and what George and his team's been able to do is working really well.

Alex Zukin -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

Perfect, and just a quick follow-up. You mentioned some of the service provider fees, I think, before. You've spoken a little bit about some of the fees from Verizon that go into effect in fiscal '19. Could you maybe talk about how that actually applies to what kind of tailwind that's going to be to revenues in fiscal '19, and how we should think about those mechanics also on a gross margin basis and how you see it evolving?

Khozema Shipchandler -- Chief Operating Officer

Yes, of course. So Verizon is a little bit delayed, and it's unclear exactly when that's going to come in to play for the year. And so what we've done is fully remove any revenue impact from our forward guidance.

Alex Zukin -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

Perfect. Thank you.

Khozema Shipchandler -- Chief Operating Officer

Sure.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Michael Turrin from Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

Michael Turrin -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Hey, great. Thanks guys for taking my questions. With SendGrid, look, now that the deal's closed, I was hoping we could talk about maybe some of the initial low-hanging fruit you see with that opportunity and maybe what folding SendGrid and another Twilio go-to-market engine could do for that business over time as well.

Sameer Dholakia -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes. This is Sameer. Thanks for the question. And we're certainly very excited about the opportunity.

I think there are lots of things that George and the go-to-market team here at Twilio have done with Twilio's go to market in 2018 that have every bit of opportunity for us to replicate. So putting another market-leading API product into the bag of a very talented go-to-market team, we think, is going to be very exciting, both for new customers and our existing installed base.

George Hu -- Chief Operating Officer

This is George. We're keeping off our campaigns now to market each other's products to their respective customer bases. And I think we're very excited to see the demand that comes from that excitement that comes from that. I know our sales teams are very, very excited to sell the combined product sets, and that message is resonating with customers.

So I think we're going to go hard at the opportunity.

Michael Turrin -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

That's great. And then quickly, can we just touch on the Engagement Cloud today? Is there a way to think about customer adoption today versus where it was this time last year? And without giving anything from your playbook going forward away, is there a way for us to think about the extensibility across additional use cases there over time?

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

This is Jeff. I'll take the question. As we think about that Engagement Cloud, Flex is really our anchor tenant of the Engagement Cloud. And Flex didn't even exist one year ago.

And in fact, we just introduced it early last year. We GA-ed it in Q4 at our big conference, so it's still a very new product for us. It's been well received by customers and the market, so we think it's got a good opportunity ahead of it. But it is early days for that product having just GA-ed it.

And our early customers are happy, and we look forward to getting many more customers onto the product over time. But I'll also point out that with our core products of voice, messaging and our email growing so nicely in such a large revenue size that the impact of the Engagement Cloud and Flex as a percentage of that total is going to take some time to catch up, obviously. We're optimistic about Flex, being it's for a fantastic product, and customers are excited by it as well. So there's a great opportunity there, but it's the early stages.

Michael Turrin -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Appreciate the color there, thanks. congrats on the strong results and year, guys.

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Michael.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Nikolay Beliov from Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Nikolay Beliov -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Hi, thanks for taking my questions and congratulations on results. Can you give us a sense of the blended gross margins for 2019, as well as the guidance numbers for Twilio, how you're talking about five, six years to make sure all models are aligned here. And secondly, when you think about free cash flow breakeven, I'm just wondering how the combined models for the companies...

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Nikolay, I'm sorry, we didn't catch any of that. Your line is not coming through clearly.

Khozema Shipchandler -- Chief Operating Officer

Not powered by Twilio.

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Not powered by Twilio, not coming through clearly. Can you try again?

Nikolay Beliov -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

I was talking about blended gross margins for 2019, how -- and when will you be cash flow breakeven going together...

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

I think we got part of that about blended gross margins for 2019. Do you want to talk about gross margins going forward, Khozema?

Khozema Shipchandler -- Chief Operating Officer

Yes. So we'll try on basis of what we heard. So the way that we're thinking about gross margins going forward is, is that we expect to land somewhere around the mid-50s. Obviously, with the addition of SendGrid to the mix, that will give us a little bit of a lift based on where we were from kind of a Twilio without SendGrid, and now Twilio with SendGrid.

And so as we move through the year, we continue to expect to hang around sort of mid-50s. And then over long term, obviously, we want to continue what we've got and are committed to do so in the long term to something that's approaching 60s.

Nikolay Beliov -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

My second question was around breakeven on free cash flow margin.

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Nikolay, we're going to have to chat afterwards. We're having a really hard time hearing you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Bhavan Suri from William Blair. Your line is now open.

Bhavan Suri -- William Blair and Company -- Analyst

Hey, guys. Can you hear me OK?

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Yes.

Bhavan Suri -- William Blair and Company -- Analyst

Good. All right. Great. Congrats.

Really nice job. I guess I want to follow up a little bit on the SendGrid side, so maybe a quick question for Sameer here. You've done a really nice job with the enterprise team at Twilio with George. George, a nice job.

And sort of if you think about where email is headed as part of the enterprise play I think Sameer and Yancey, there was a talk about maybe augmenting the enterprise team at SendGrid. Do you think that, that's a sales force that you'll leverage with Twilio folks in this relationship or do think it's a separate set of investments you need to make to keep those two machines working in parallel? How should we think about how this is going to play out over the next, say, 12, 24 months?

Sameer Dholakia -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Thanks, Bhavan. Yes. No, I absolutely believe we're going to be leveraging the existing Twilio go-to-market engine and field sales force.

We want to speak to the market with one voice about the incredible opportunity. And what we keep hearing from customers is they really do want one integrated communications platform. So we're going to have one sales force that's there taking that message to market.

Bhavan Suri -- William Blair and Company -- Analyst

Got it. Got it. That's really helpful. And I guess one of the other questions I had is, as you think about sort of pricing power, the dynamics are interesting on the two businesses.

In the one you are sort of a premium-price player at SendGrid, and the opportunity to raise pricing existed. Twilio, obviously, on the course of just voice and text, that's been a business where the incoming volume, there's been some pressure over there. And then with the software piece, obviously, there's some pricing power, obviously, with that and Flex and things like that. And maybe this is for all of you or whomever, but strategically, now as a combined entity, if we were to think about the blended price, do you think you have pricing power? Or do you think at this point it's stable? How do you guys think of that from a three to five-year strategic process? Thank you.

George Hu -- Chief Operating Officer

This is George. I think our focus is on creating and delivering software value that takes advantage of having multiple channels. And we think that long term we're going to drive margin and higher customer count value, and frankly, just more stickiness with customers by working on that. So we're hard at work at that and that's a key part of our integration strategy.

Bhavan Suri -- William Blair and Company -- Analyst

Got it. Thanks guys for answering my questions and congrats.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Brent Bracelin from KeyBanc. Your line is now open.

Brent Bracelin -- KeyBanc Capital Markets -- Analyst

Thank you. One here for George or Jeff and then one follow-up for Sameer. I wanted to drill back down into the base business. If I even take out the seasonal election benefit of $10 million, it looks like the average revenue per customer continues to grow at this 25% to 30% rate.

I guess my question specifically is what's driving that? Is there a handful of customers that are skewing that consumption rate higher? Is it broad-based? Are you seeing just improving sales productivity? Any color to help explain the strength even after adjusting for the seasonal election benefit.

George Hu -- Chief Operating Officer

Yes. This is George. So the simple answer is it's broad-based growth. We see strong growth both in our largest customers as well as our long-tail customers.

And I think it just really speaks to the amount of interest in the market. I mean, broad-based demand for engaging with customers in new channels and new ways, and we're benefiting from that plus, I think, the efforts of our go-to-market engine.

Brent Bracelin -- KeyBanc Capital Markets -- Analyst

Helpful. And then, Sameer, just as a follow-up here. What's been the customer feedback on the price increase that was implemented here at the low end? And then feedback from some of your larger customers now that you're adding an omnichannel capability? Any color on those two things would be helpful. Thanks.

Sameer Dholakia -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes, Brent, no material change at all on churn rates related to the pricing change. Certainly, it's been adopted in the marketplace and recognized SendGrid as the premium provider in the market. So no issues there. Second, in terms of larger customers, I'd say again, the feedback has been universally positive about the acquisition and the combination of the two market-leading APIs coming together because they've been asking for it.

They know what we can do with it to help them create a new customer engagement platform so they can transform the way they engage with their customers, meet their customers where they want to and how they want to be communicated with. So the reaction from customers has been tremendous.

Khozema Shipchandler -- Chief Operating Officer

Brent, this is Khozema. One correction based on what you said earlier, if we got the question right, is that the seasonal benefit on the elections wasn't 10 points. It was the elections as well as the international customer we called out. Just wanted to clarify that.

Brent Bracelin -- KeyBanc Capital Markets -- Analyst

Those were the two, OK. Very helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Richard Davis from CG Financial. Your line is now open.

Richard Davis -- Canaccord Genuity -- Analyst

Thanks. One kind of just tactical question and one more strategic. Europe is kind of, I guess, leading the world in regulation. Whether that's good or bad, you can argue about it.

But I think on September 2019, you're going to have to do this strong authentication for payments and stuff. Are you guys positioned for that? And then just the second question kind of ties in with just big-picture thinking about how you're going your business and customer engagement. Do you think about this as a vertical play or should we go up a stack or is it -- as outsiders, we're just trying to kind of figure out how this thing plays out because I don't know, it's a pretty big platform so we're just trying figure that out. So two kinds of questions, tactical and strategic.

Thanks.

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Richard. This is Jeff. I'll take the questions. Our PSD2 requirement in Europe is certainly a potential driver for our Authy business.

Authy provides both two-factor authentication as well as identity verification, which are ingredients to how you can solve for the PSD2 requirements for transactions -- large transactions occurring on a bid counter or any purchase. So that is a potential driver for Authy.

Richard Davis -- Canaccord Genuity -- Analyst

Cool. And then just how do you think about -- because you're helping guide companies in their kind of customer engagement market, leading them on that kind of end journey. How do you -- is there a way to think about that as outsiders? I mean, I know you've talked about it, but is there -- should we think about you as kind of moving up, sideways, thoughts? Any additional color would be great.

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Meaning as it relates to PSD2 or just in general?

Richard Davis -- Canaccord Genuity -- Analyst

Yes. No, no, no. More with the whole Flex and all the other -- the tools in the platform that you're building.

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. I mean, the reason why we have the customer engagement cloud, right, is customer engagement is the top of mind for just about every single company out there because what is more important than having a great relationship with your customers. And in a digital era with every company becoming a digital company, how you engage with your customers is about these digital connections. It's about digital communications.

And that is what most customers use our platform for, some form of engagement across a part of the customer life cycle. Whether it is authentication a transaction with PSD2 or customer service or when you're doing sales, when you're marketing with email and SendGrid or when you're doing field service. A number of customers this quarter had field service use cases. There's all these touch points that companies have with their customers.

And in order to compete in today's economy, digital economy, companies have to invest in software and they have to invest in great customer engagement. And I think that is the main driver of why companies of every shape and size in every industry can see Twilio as a solution to one of their biggest, most pressing problems.

Richard Davis -- Canaccord Genuity -- Analyst

Perfect. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Mark Murphy from JP Morgan. Your line is now open.

Unknown Analyst

Thank you. This is Pinjalim. Congratulations guys and-on behalf of Mark here. Jeff, we hear a lot about Flex.

I guess, that's the flavor nowadays. Everybody talks about Flex, about Twilio, but we don't care much about IoT, while you have been doing slowly a lot of stuff on the IoT side. Could you talk about some real customer use cases where Twilio has been used in IoT. And how do you think about the opportunity in that space?

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Absolutely. I'd say they use cases for IoT, for Twilio wireless are really there's two major categories here. Number one is the use cases that have leveraged the existing 4G networks, where you typically have relatively expensive modem and a relatively expensive data cost because it's piggy-backing off of these networks that were designed for essentially consumer use cases which are relatively speaking fairly expensive to deploy. Like this was originally built for smartphones and so you see things like asset trackers.

And we see a lot of use cases in mobility, whether it's automobiles, whether it's fleet tracking of semi-trailers, stuff like that, but also in the micro mobility space, where customers with dockless bike and scooters, track those assets with Twilio wireless. And so we see a lot of great use cases for the sort of 4G networks in that asset tracking-type category. Now you also have coming down the pipe a new category of use cases based on the narrowband protocols. We announced a new product, Twilio wireless narrowband at SIGNAL last fall, which is a new type of protocol that is a lot cheaper, both to operate the data cost, but also the hardware costs are a lot cheaper.

And what we see is, when you can reduce the cost of the modem that goes into the device substantially and when you can reduce the cost of data substantially, I'm talking about the order of magnitude or more, then that increases the types of devices and the number of devices that are ultimately going to get connected via wireless technologies to the Internet, and so you start to see things like sensors and smaller, less expensive. The device doesn't have to be worth $100,000. If you don't think it's worth tracking, you can take a small sensor that maybe is a $5 sensor and throw a low-cost modem in it and bake the price of a lifetime of conductivity into the purchase price of that device and now have it connected to the Internet from the moment it comes out of the box through when it's already to the end of life. And that is really exciting because it's a whole new category of use cases that open up for IoT that aren't available when the connectivity costs and the modem costs and all that are as high as they are now, and battery life, too, by the way.

The battery life is going to come down massively. You can power a device for a five-year lifespan of a device with a single AA battery. That's pretty interesting. It opens up brand-new use cases.

So those are the two major categories of IoT use cases that we're starting to see. The narrowband use cases, by the way, brand new. We just announced the product and those narrowband protocols, which are a part of the 5G rollouts that carriers are doing all around the world, those are just starting to come online. But we're way ahead.

We've got the first developer platform for narrowband.

Unknown Analyst

Awesome. And quickly on the guidance -- on the 2019 guidance, it seems -- revenue guidance, it seems like it implies a lower level of dollar expansion rate that -- than you're used to, I guess. And I understand it's partly because of law of large numbers, but maybe there's some conservatism built in. Well, first of all, has there been maybe change in the guidance philosophy per se? And second of all, can you help us understand how fast has been the expansion rate for maybe your oldest couple of cohorts going backwards and how that has been trending?

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, thanks for the question. There's a couple of things in there, so let me take them one at a time. So I think just in general, there's been no change in terms of our philosophy on guidance. We're doing it the same way that we have, and that's been pretty consistent.

I would say, just to get in the meat of it, we're coming off a really, really strong year. We feel good about the way that the business is trending into 2019. And one of the things that's obviously happening is that the comparisons are getting tougher as we go forward and as we become a larger company. It's still relatively earlier in the year, but I would say that as we approach to $1 billion, the growth is going to be harder to maintain at those levels.

And there's just not that many companies that are out there at that size and able to scale as rapidly as we have. And this is really best-in-class growth, if you will, at this scale.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Catharine Trebnick from Dougherty. Your line is now open.

Catharine Trebnick -- Dougherty and Company -- Analyst

Thank you for taking my question. Great quarter. You had discussed about how you're going to invest more into the marketing -- go-to-market strategy. Any particular regions, either North America or around the globe, that you see some of the companies are more aggressively adding Twilio capabilities and use cases than other regions? And the reason I'm asking the question is a year ago Atlanta really increased in size.

You added up to 50 people in the region, up significantly from the year before. So I'm just kind of looking for an idea, by region, what areas do you think are more golden nuggets for you than others? Thanks.

George Hu -- Chief Operating Officer

That's a great question, Catharine. This is George. So first of all, as I've said previously, the growth we're seeing is fundamentally broad based. And we are investing across the board to capture the opportunity across different geos and segments.

That being said, we are going to -- while we continue to invest in the United States, we're also planning to invest a little more internationally because we see like a huge untapped opportunity there. And then in terms of your specific question around Atlanta, we just continue to diversify our talent base in the company, but I wouldn't read anything into that about where we see our opportunity.

Catharine Trebnick -- Dougherty and Company -- Analyst

All right. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Dmitry Netis from Stephens Inc. Your line is now open.

Dmitry Netis -- Stephens Inc. -- Analyst

Thank you. I wanted to touch quickly on the guidance as well, maybe in a bit the more granular manner. I look at the kind of the SendGrid and Twilio breakdowns you guys gave on the organic basis. I can appreciate the 45% growth of Twilio heading into '19.

You called it maybe slightly above the market growth rate and you obviously came off of a very strong 2018, growing 68%, 70%. So I get that. But on the SendGrid side, now that you're combining two companies together, to be guiding for 25% organic growth doesn't seem that impressive given you came off of a 30% year in 2018 and you have tons of cross-sell selling synergies on a blended basis. So just walk me maybe what the market's doing or is this just conservatism on your part? Like why aren't we accelerating kind of organic growth of SendGrid under Twilio umbrella?

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Thanks for the question. So I would say just to start off, it's very early days in the integration of both companies. And so by definition, we're very, very early in terms of evaluating cross-sell opportunities and things of that nature.

We do feel good about the business. They had a really strong year as well. And at this point in time, we feel really comfortable with the guidance that we're providing for that part of the company.

Dmitry Netis -- Stephens Inc. -- Analyst

OK. And maybe to just follow up on the margin side, which kind of goes along hand in hand here with the revenue guidance. You're guiding for -- you called out some continued fluctuation, but you also said sort of not to expect much of an uptick there, kind of mid-50s, I think, is what you're guiding for the entire year. SendGrid comes in with a 76% margin, so you should be seeing maybe four or five points of uptick there.

Why are you sort of guiding for mid-50s? Like, what's driving that?

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. I mean, I think as we mentioned in the remarks earlier that SendGrid will obviously help the mix just in terms of providing an upward lift in the short term. I mean, there's a number of variables that go into our gross margins ultimately, things like international, product mix, what have you. And so I think mid-50s is what we've said consistently since the IPO, and we don't necessarily see any change relative to that which we think has been pretty consistent.

Dmitry Netis -- Stephens Inc. -- Analyst

OK. Great. And maybe one more if I could squeeze in for Khozema. You've now been on the job for four months.

You're tasked with building say, a $10 billion company here. You're sort of scratching $1 billion already. What are the key areas that you're focusing on? And being new to the story, I'd love to hear your thoughts here so appreciate that feedback.

Khozema Shipchandler -- Chief Operating Officer

Yes. Sure. I mean, I would just say -- to start off with, I mean I'm thrilled to be here, right. It's really a remarkable company.

I think we're a truly unique moment in time in terms of the marketplace opportunity that's in front of us, and all the investments that we're making are really geared at maintaining a position of leadership. More to your point, I think one of the principal dynamics of me joining and why I was selected ultimately is because part of scaling a company is better recognition and putting in the systems, tools and processes that grow with really scaling up an enterprise. And I think those are dimensions that I hope to bring to the role. And as we continue growing, we're going to have to continue investing in those areas.

Dmitry Netis -- Stephens Inc. -- Analyst

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Will Power from Baird. Your line is now open.

Will Power -- Baird -- Analyst

Thank you. Maybe just a question and perhaps a follow-up. Maybe first, probably, for George, just coming back to Flex. I'd love to hear your latest thoughts on go-to-market strategy, what inning you're in, where you are with respect to direct sales, partner relationships to push that product.

It was great to hear that you're already seeing success at the developer channel on that front. So I just would love to kind of understand going forward what the biggest opportunities are to kind of get product out in the market.

George Hu -- Chief Operating Officer

Yes. That's a great question. So first of all, I'm really excited about the customer reaction to Flex. I think we have fundamentally differentiated products and architecture in the marketplace that is very compelling.

It's a company that I think the value proposition is resonating with the prospects and customers I'm talking to. I think that we are in the very, very early innings in terms -- the product just went GA last quarter. So we've been laying some groundwork by hiring a team to go after the opportunity, as well as building a partner channel. And we've seen some growth in terms of our number of certified partners, consultants, which I think is on par for where we would it expect to be.

And we're seeing customer traction as well. So I think that it's a very exciting time, and I think we have, as I said, a very differentiated product, which I think is really the starting point in any types of endeavor. So I'm very excited about the opportunity.

Will Power -- Baird -- Analyst

OK. And do you think -- I mean, will it be the developer group be the bigger driver of that going forward or will it be some of these other partnerships that your processes are forming?

George Hu -- Chief Operating Officer

We've said that our target market for the product is the enterprise, 1,000 agent and up market opportunity because of our customization and kind of tailoring exactly for their business process, value proposition really resonates. And that is exactly where we are squarely focused right now. So I think that will be a combination of direct sales. Obviously, we'll continue to have developers to bring in some of those companies, but I don't think fundamentally these accounts will be closed self-service.

I think they're going to require some investment on our side to go after them and close these transactions.

Will Power -- Baird -- Analyst

OK. Great. And then just a quick follow-up on the Q4 impacts. A, is there any way to get a split between the two items that were referenced, roughly 50-50 contribution in the Q4 benefit? And then the second piece is on the international customer and the seasonality associated with that, is there something more one-time-ish in that? Or is that a seasonal impact that we should expect to recur again next year?

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Good question. The international was slightly larger in terms of the impacts relative to the election, just to answer the first part of the question. And then we viewed it as a bit of a one-time event that transpired into fourth quarter.

I mean, it's hard for us to speculate, obviously, in terms of what plays out exactly with the customer next year. We really view it as more of a onetime. But we're certainly not assuming an uptick in our guidance next year based on what transpired in the fourth quarter.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Mike Latimore from Northland Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Mike Latimore -- Northland Capital Markets -- Analyst

I think at one point you had mentioned you might give application services revenue sort of once a year. Do you have that for the fourth quarter or year 2018?

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

We're not going to break it out today. I think it's not necessarily something that we're planning to break out every quarter. What can say is that we're certainly happy with the traction that we're seeing around application services. It's still growing faster sort of on an overall year-over-year basis, and we feel great about where things are headed there.

Mike Latimore -- Northland Capital Markets -- Analyst

Great. And then can you talk a little bit about -- how often is the sort of CIO getting involved in decision-making now versus a couple of years ago? And when they do get involved, is it more a cost discussion or more around security compliance? Any color around that would be great.

George Hu -- Chief Operating Officer

I think that historically, Twilio started with the ground-up developer, if you will. And I would say starting a couple of years ago, we started to see a little bit more energy at the VP level and even the CTO level. Now we're starting to see broader-based executive penetration, I think, through our Engage program, our coverage, increased account coverage. For example, we had a terrific creator summit at SIGNAL this past year which was focused on VP and above titles within our customer accounts.

And that was very, very well attended, like well over a hundred people at that event. So we're starting to us penetrate more into the higher-level titles. It's not specifically the CIO, I would say. I mean, honestly, I think it's a lot -- sometimes it's a CTO, sometimes it's a VP of Customer Engagement, sometimes a VP of Customer Service.

I think that we're not so much focused on that one title as much as just broadly speaking getting into the business and talking about customer engagement strategy versus a more tactical communications conversation.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Rishi Jaluria from D.A. Davidson. Your line is now open.

Rishi Jaluria -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

Hey, guys, thanks for taking my question. Just quickly wanted to get a sense for what sort of traction you've seen with Twilio Build so far, and maybe if there's any noteworthy partners or pilots that you can point to within the quarter or in the pipeline.

George Hu -- Chief Operating Officer

Yes. This is George. We're definitely on track for our program goals in terms of partners and certified consultants. We're seeing traction with great partners like Proficience, which is a public company.

They're investing in Twilio Flex, and we're doing some early transactions with them, for example. So I think good stuff and more to come.

Rishi Jaluria -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

All right. Great. Thanks, George.

Operator

[Operator signoff]

Duration: 57 minutes

Call Participants:

Greg Kleiner -- Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer

Jeff Lawson -- Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer

Sameer Dholakia -- Chief Executive Officer

George Hu -- Chief Operating Officer

Khozema Shipchandler -- Chief Operating Officer

Alex Zukin -- Piper Jaffray -- Analyst

Michael Turrin -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Nikolay Beliov -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Bhavan Suri -- William Blair and Company -- Analyst

Brent Bracelin -- KeyBanc Capital Markets -- Analyst

Richard Davis -- Canaccord Genuity -- Analyst

Catharine Trebnick -- Dougherty and Company -- Analyst

Dmitry Netis -- Stephens Inc. -- Analyst

Will Power -- Baird -- Analyst

Mike Latimore -- Northland Capital Markets -- Analyst

Rishi Jaluria -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

More TWLO analysis

This article is a transcript of this conference call produced for The Motley Fool. While we strive for our Foolish Best, there may be errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in this transcript. As with all our articles, The Motley Fool does not assume any responsibility for your use of this content, and we strongly encourage you to do your own research, including listening to the call yourself and reading the company's SEC filings. Please see our Terms and Conditions for additional details, including our Obligatory Capitalized Disclaimers of Liability.

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Monday, February 11, 2019

Marathon Petroleum's Recent Acquisition Looks to Be Paying Off

Ever since Marathon Petroleum's (NYSE:MPC) IPO back in 2012, the company has gone from being a mid-sized independent oil refiner with some retail holdings to becoming the nation's largest refiner with an extensive network of retail stations and two large logistics subsidiaries. This past quarter was the culmination of that work, as the company completed the acquisition of Andeavor -- formerly Tesoro, Western Refining, and Northern Tier Refining. Based on the most recent results, investors should be pleased that management decided to do this deal.

Let's take a look at Marathon's most recent earnings results and what investors can expect from the refiner in 2019 and beyond.

Oil refinery at sunset.

Image source: Getty Images.

By the numbers Metric Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2017
Revenue $32.54 billion $22.78 billion $21.23 billion
Operating income $2.01 billion $1.40 billion $1.17 billion
Net income $1.19 billion $737 million $2.01 billion
EPS (diluted) $1.35 $1.62 $4.09

DATA SOURCE: MARATHON PETROLEUM EARNINGS RELEASE. EPS= earnings per share. 

This was the first quarter in which we got to see Marathon Petroleum's results combined with the Andeavor acquisition since the deal was announced back in April, and they were pretty much what investors were hoping for. Even though its earnings were down significantly from this time last year, that's because the company netted a significant one-time gain related to the change in corporate tax rates. And management said that this quarter's result also included $745 million in one-time charges related to fair value accounting standards for oil inventories, early debt extinguishment costs at is subsidiary master limited partnership MPLX LP (NYSE:MPLX), and some merger-related integration costs. 

The thing that is truly impressive was the company's jump in operating income. Some of its business segments got shuffled around as part of the merger -- some parts of refining and marketing got moved to retail -- but the takeaway here is that the company is finding success across the board. The company even went out of its way to note that it had already achieved about $160 million in synergies related to the merger, especially in making common crude oil purchases for the combined entity. Management now estimates that it will be able to wring out about $1.4 billion in operational synergies by 2021, up from the initial estimate of $1 billion at the time of the merger announcement.

Bar chart of MPC operating income by business segment for Q4 2017, Q3 2018, and Q4 2018. Shows large gains for all three segments.

Data source: Marathon Petroleum.

Management also announced it was increasing its dividend by 15% to $0.53 per share ($2.12 annualized). Based on its capital spending for 2019, it estimates that it will be able to do about $2.5 billion in share repurchases for the year. 

What management had to say

Even though the merger is complete, there are still a lot of lingering questions. The biggest question right now is what the company plans to do with its two MLPs, MPLX and Andeavor Logistics (NYSE:ANDX). In all likelihood, Marathon will do a deal to combine them. For now, though, CEO Gary Heminger is keeping rather quiet about what will happen.

With limited turnarounds in 2019, our system is poised to execute in any market environment. These trends coupled with our expected synergy capture and potentially changing dynamics of the low-sulfur fuel market all set the stage to create meaningful benefits across the MPC's integrated and diversified business model. Lastly, we continue to make progress on evaluating all options for the two MLPs. Each of the parties involved have retained advisors and our comments will be limited as we walk through a thorough evaluation process. We will provide an update to investors at the appropriate time.

It should be noted, though, that Marathon said it has no plans to drop down one of Andeavor Logistics largest growth projects -- the Grey Oak pipeline and export terminal. The project was going to be funded by Andeavor and then dropped down to Andeavor Logistics afterward, but this already shows that management is looking at a different path for Andeavor Logistics.  

You can read a full transcript of Marathon Petroleum's conference call here.

MPC Chart

MPC data by YCharts.

It's a variable refining market, but Marathon is still creating value

Whenever a company does an acquisition or merger as large as Marathon's, there are always lingering questions that the acquiring company can create value from the deal. While it's still very early in the process, it's encouraging that management is already increasing its estimates for operational synergies.

The refining market can swing wildly at any given moment, so it's impossible to say with any confidence what Marathon Petroleum's stock will do this year. The progress it has made on the integration, however, suggests that it will continue to create value through its generous dividend and share repurchases. With its stock trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11 and a dividend yield of 3.3%, Marathon's stock looks attractive today.